Updated 5/3/24 at 8:20 p.m. AST

VI SOURCE WEATHER UPDATES

! An unstable weather pattern is expected again on Saturday and throughout the weekend. A Flood Watch is in effect until at least Sunday evening across Puerto Rico and the USVI. The ground is very saturated, and any additional heavy rainfall could result in flash flooding. More information is available here.

! A Weather Update video for the weekend ahead is available here!

Article: Colorado State University Predicts Extremely Active 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Article: La Niña Weather Pattern May Spawn an Active 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Series: “Extreme Weather in the Caribbean”

• Part 1: Caribbean Earthquakes and Tsunamis
• Part 2: Caribbean Volcanoes
• Part 3: Rip Currents
• Part 4: Hurricanes
• Part 5: Wildfires
• Part 6: Flash Floods
• An article about earthquakes in the Caribbean is available here!
• An informational video about drought conditions in the USVI is available here!

SATURDAY’S WEATHER FORECAST: 5/4/24

Happy Saturday!

According to the National Weather Service (NWS) in San Juan, Puerto Rico, an unstable weather pattern is expected on Saturday and throughout the weekend. A Flood Watch will be in effect until at least 6 p.m. on Sunday due to the potential for heavy rain and thunderstorms. The ground is saturated, and any additional heavy rainfall could result in flash flooding. Therefore, Saturday will be mostly cloudy, with showers and thunderstorms. The high temperature will be approximately 87°F, 30.5°C, with winds out of the southeast at about 6 to 11 mph. Winds will become easterly during the afternoon. The chance of rain on Saturday is approximately 60%. 

Saturday night will be mostly cloudy, with showers and thunderstorms. The low temperature will be approximately 79°F, 26.1°C, with winds out of the east-northeast at about 9 mph. The possibility of rain on Saturday night is approximately 50%.

Below: Infrared satellite imagery obtained at 7:40 p.m. AST on Friday indicates precipitation around the USVI and Puerto Rico. Additional rainfall and thunderstorms are expected.

MARINE WEATHER UPDATE

On Saturday, seas will be approximately 2 to 3 feet, with occasional seas up to 4 feet. Winds will be out of the southeast at about 5 to 10 knots.

On Saturday night, seas will be approximately 2 feet. Winds will be out of the east-northeast at about 5 to 10 knots. 

The water temperature is approximately 83-85°F, approximately 28-29°C.

Ocean Water Temperature Map from 5/3/24, courtesy of NOAA:

Wave Height Forecast Map courtesy of NWS:

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS

Rip Currents: The risk of rip currents is projected to be low across most of the region on Saturday. 

Clear = Low Rip Current Risk

Yellow = Moderate Rip Current Risk

Red = High Rip Current Risk

Learn more about rip current safety in an interview between the NWS and the VI Source here.

TROPIC WATCH

Tropical Activity: The National Hurricane Center does not expect any cyclonic development over the next seven days.

A possible La Niña Weather Pattern May Spawn an Active 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Read more here. Additionally, Colorado State University Predicts Extremely Active 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

Click here to learn tips on being prepared for the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

Days Until 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season: 28 Days 

OBSERVATIONS

Sunrise: 5:52 a.m.
Sunset: 6:42 p.m.

Ocean water temperature: Approximately 83-85°F, approximately 28-29°C.

UV index: 7-10 out of 10 (HIGH)

Friday’s high temperature: 88°F, 31.1°C
Friday’s low temperature:  77°F, 25°C

Preparation for extreme weather events in the Caribbean, such as earthquakes and tropical cyclones, is important. Residents and visitors in the USVI are encouraged to stay updated on weather events on the V.I. Source Weather page and sign up for alerts from the National Weather Service and the Virgin Islands Territorial Emergency Management Agency.